Monday, February 19, 2007

Devil Doggs

OK, so baseball season is really creeping up on us. I have been trying to think of what I should to prepare for this on the bliggity blog. What i have come up with for starters is to preview every team in the AL and NL East. While not everyone would find previews of the Cardinals and Rangers interesting, since most of the readers are Sox, Yanks or Mets fans I assume that this will work. I am going to start today with the Tampa Bay Devil Rays.

The Devil Rays are probably the most interesting of the "have-nots" on baseball. While they have never won and baring a major miracle won't win again this season, they have a bunch of young talent in their system. The problem for them is that much of the major league ready talent is is best suited for the outfield. Besides that though, they have a young and innovative manager, plus a 23 year old potential Cy Young winner. They also have the number one ranked minor league system according to Keith Law of ESPN.com. Here is an evaluation of their fortunes for the season...

The Good:
They have five tremendously talented players that will be 25 or younger on opening day in Rocco Baldelli, Carl Crawford, Delmon Young, Elijah Duke and BJ Upton. The problem is that all five players appear to be best suited as an outfielder. It seems like the Rays would like to find a way to get each of these players 450 at-bats. They would like to start Young, Baldelli, and Crawford in the outfield, with Upton playing all over including DH and Duke being the fourth outfielder and platoon at DH. The Devil Rays are in a prime position to trade one of these players for pitching. A perfect solution in my mind would be to trade Baldelli and start Upton in center. Duke has had numerous disciplinary problems in the minors, so I would give him a chance to play and then trade him as his value peaks if possible. They would then have three outfielders left and their two top hitting prospects in the minors are a third baseman and a shortstop.

Scott Kazmir is the ace of the Devil Ray staff. He had his season shortened by injury last year, but is an electric talent. He is only 23 years old and after Johan Santana, could be the best left-handed pitcher in the American League. The Devil Rays also had their first significant fee agent signing in a few years. They signed Akinori Iwamura from the Japanese League. He will start at third base for them and is only 28 years old. Their top hitting prospect definitely starting the season in the minors is third baseman Evan Longoria so Iwamura may just be keeping the position warm for him. Manager Joe Madden is in his second year with the Rays, but he was a major managerial prospect after his years as bench coach under Mike Scioscia in Anaheim. He has job security for at least this season, which is probably the best thing you can ask for as a Devil Ray manager.

The Bad

Pitching. I am not saying that is the only bad part of the Devil Ray organization, but it definitely is the most glaring. Going up and down the Devil Ray pitching roster, Kazmir is the only guy I would want on my team. They have stocked their minor league system with pitching, but the word is that it won't be ready for at least another season. No matter how many talented hitters the Rays have, it will mean nothing without the pitching, especially in the same division as the Yankees and Red Sox. I like the philosophy of their young GM (Andrew Freidman) in stocking the minors with pitching, but the major league roster is still very bare on the front. Besides pitching they have some holes in their line-up, but their main problem is their stadium/fan support. Baseball has not electrified Tampa they way MLB hoped when they award that city a franchise in 1998. They stadium is horrendous as well.

The Confusing

A couple players stick out in this regard, namely Jorge Cantu and Johnny Gomes. Gomes is 26 and Cantu is 25, but they have had inconsistent beginnings to their respective careers. Two years ago they both had breakthrough seasons and last year they both took considerable steps back. They each have always had trouble fielding, and could be standing in the way of their potentially more productive younger players. The beginning of the season for these two players will be key to their future with the Rays. If they don't produce, as I have noted, the Rays have a few young hitters that they would be more than happy to give extra at-bats to.

Probable Line-Up
C: Dioneer Navaro
1B: Ty Wigginton
2B: Jorge Cantu
3B: Akinori Iwamura
SS: Ben Zobrist
LF: Carl Crawford
CF: Rocco Baldelli
RF: Delmon Young
DH: BJ Upton

Starting Pitching
1. Scott Kazmir
2. Jae Seo
3. Casey Fossum
4. Edwin Jackson
5. Seth McClung

Closer: Chad Orvella

As you can tell, their line-up is very young and their pitching is very bad. I struggle to project them anything other than last place once again. They have a ton of young talent though coming through their system. It is up to the GM to project which hitting talent he should keep and which should be shipped out for more pitching. They may never be able to compete with the Yankees and Red Sox financially, but they (at the moment) set up to compete talent wise for the next five to seven years. This year that is far from the case though.

Randoms
  • So the Chargers fire Schottenheimer (200 career wins) and Hire Norv Turner (.420 career winning %)? I just don't get it. I know that this point they did not have a great amount of options, but I just do not see how they feel that they can make the next step with Turner as coach.
  • I will save my AROD feelings for a full post, but again HOW DID THEY KEEP THIS GUY??? I understand that you will never get the value in talent that this guy deserves, and if he was traded he would most like put up 50 HRs and 140 RBIs where ever else he went. The constant drama with him is too much though. Plus, all season long his opt out clause in his contract is going to be a story. He just is not worth the distraction to me. Grab some more pitching for him and then trade for a Joe Crede, or sign the Japanese thrid baseman that the D'Rays got. He obviously has a rift with Jeter, and is not on great terms with Torre. He puts his foot in his mouth on a daily basis and has a poor relationship with the fans. The media eats him alive, and his playoff faults are well known.
  • I am sure Vegas was crazy for the NBA All Star weekend, but the festivities we saw on TV were as weak as I could remember. I was bored by Saturday night and the game itself was less interesting than usual.
  • Looks like Jason Kidd and/or Vince Carter will get traded. I think that the Nets are making the right move, and Rod Thorn will make sure that they have young players/draft picks to build around.

STKAFI

6 comments:

Anonymous said...

If the Nets can bring Bynum back home to Jersey along with a draft pick and some relatively quick cap relief for Kidd, then I think its a deal they have to make. M. Williams, Bynum and Jefferson are 3 good pieces to build around. Whatever they can get for Carter will be positive. Out of the Nets, Celts and Knicks, I'd have to say the Nets have the potential for quickest turnaround.

JWS said...

Is that trade being discussed?

I would think the Lakers would be hesistant to give up Bynum especially with the progress he's made this year. Phil Jackson raves about him.

He's won without a real point guard in the triangle offense before (and without a big man)

IceCold said...

I hear that the Lakers right now are refusing to part with Kobe, Odom, or Bynam...

A more likely scenario is, Kwame Brown, Jordan Farmar, Chris Mihm, and a draft pick or two....

The Nets understanably are not enamored by this proposal...

Anonymous said...

no way jackson will let bynum stand in the way of making a deal for kidd, especially now that kobe has openly stated he's pushing for it. i believe its the front office thats hesitant to give bynum up. jackson has won without a big man and point guard when he had jordan and pippen. unless jackson plans on sticking around another 5-6 years, he's gonna make sure this deal gets done. if they give up bynum, i'm sure they can get mikki moore or jason collins in return to be a defensive presence in the middle. with kobe and kidd, the lakers are my pick from the west. i don't care how well the mavs or the suns are playing.

Anonymous said...

You're nuts. Kidd has Vince in NJ and they aren't even beating anyone in the East. With Kidd, the Lakers are still at best the 3rd or 4th best team in the West.

Anonymous said...

carter is not kobe, especially now that he only takes fadeaway 3s.

we all agree that the mavs and suns are the 2 best teams in the west. adding kidd to the equation vs. the suns, not only puts one of the best defenders in the NBA on Nash, but it makes nash have to work on the defensive end. the lakers first four matches up with just about anyone else in the league.